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UFC 214 BETTING CHEAT SHEET: ODDS ANALYSIS AND PREVIEW

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When it will not be the biggest combat sports event of this summer, UFC 214 is certainly the biggest MMA event of the entire year. In addition to this Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card features two extra title charms, contenders and entertaining battles throughout.
Brad Taschuk of all MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a peek at where the gambling odds have proceeded for many 12 fights since opening lines (indicated in brackets) were published and he gives his thoughts on each matchup. All traces are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favored first time these two scrapped and a few naively anticipated the line would be similar this time around. But, it appears that Jones’ legal problems, run-in with USADA and layoff has not had the impact expected online. It’s difficult to blame bettors either, Cormier is now 38-years-old, has been through some hard battles since their first meeting, and Jones won every component of that first fight. Expect something similar – if not more dominant – this time around.
Regardless of how seriously he takes his groundwork, Jones is the kind of fighter who rises to the occasion like few others. To him, this is the greatest event. Cormier is his main rival and he’s the opportunity to regain the belt he never dropped against him. That combination will lead to a tremendous performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch Cormier and re-assert his dominance at the division.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Similar to the main event, this line hasn’t seen much movement. Given that the contrasting styles, that’s not hard to believe. There is a contingent of individuals who believe Woodley is going to starch Maia using the first punch he throws. They might well be correct. The opposing side of the coin is made up of people who think that Maia can close the distance, latch onto Woodley such as he has so many others and just predominate his grappling. They are right as well. Woodley’s tendency to back himself against the cage and play counter-puncher will be his demise here. Maia is becoming so good at entering the clinch when not under stress that he ought to have the ability to create Woodley overlook once. Despite a high level wrestler the likes of Woodley, once Maia gets his hands on you, that’s a world of trouble.
The Brazilian’s ability to commence Jiu-Jitsu imports without hitting traditional takedowns is next to none (he’s perfected the single leg to rear take) and Woodley being the kind of guy who likes to explode from positions will only hurt him after that happens. It’s kind of astonishing that Maia by Sub pays an extra buck (+275 at Thursday morning), since Woodley won’t have the ability to endure 25 minutes of Maia engaging in the type of fight he wishes to. The other option is most likely a quick Woodley KO (+350 for your champ in Round 1, incidentally ).
Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This fight being bettable is dependent on what type of bettor you’re. In case you have no difficulty throwing a massive line in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at almost -1400), or Cyborg ITD (almost -700) are nearly sure things. If that’s not really your style, neither will probably be laying nearly 2-to-1 on a prop such as Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I can make for a drama is based on Evinger’s resilience. She has taken damage in several of her struggles and persevered and she probably won’t come back to conquer Cyborg in this one after a tough beginning, there’s an external shot she can endure five minutes. But even the prices for”Fight Begins Round two” and Cyborg Round 2 have dropped substantially (down to +150 and +450, respectively), making them less attractive even to somebody who is constantly on the search for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It’s a shame this fight is occurring after both guys have apparently passed their peak in terms of durability, since a war with Lawler and Cerrone in their best would be a thing to behold. This fight will come down to distance management and in-fight decisions. Lawler would like to be inside, Cerrone would like to be outdoors. The problem for Cerrone is that Lawler’s consistent pressure will eventually see him get indoors and at that point, anticipate Cerrone to be much too willing to oblige him the warfare he’s looking for. While that will grant us the type of fight we would like to view, do not expect it to finish well for Cerrone.

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