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NASCAR Betting Picks: 3 Props for Sunday’s Texas O’Reilly Auto Parts 500

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NASCAR heads to its third 1.5-mile oval track this season, and also the very first time all year we will see a repeat in the rules package and tire wear combination. Texas is a tire wear oblong, similar to Las Vegas, before the 2017 season thanks to its repave and reconfiguration.
Because of this, this race in Texas should closely resemble the race in Las Vegas Motor Speedway — yet another 1.5-mile low tire wear oval that used the aero duct package.
NASCAR Props Challenge Picks for Sunday’s Texas O’Reilly Auto Parts 500
Read today Not only will I’m leaning heavily on Las Vegas, but we should also consider the races at Atlanta Motor Speedway and Auto Club Speedway, that were run under similar, but not entirely comparable conditions. I utilize Texas data as the 2017 repave to gauge history.
There are three head-to-head matchups that provide value heading into the weekend.
Kevin Harvick (+130) over Kyle Busch
Kyle Busch is the defending race winner in Texas and the hottest driver on the circuit, which is driving Busch’s cost on this one. But give me Harvick in Texas. Westgate has this in +130, if you’re in Las Vegas for the NCAA Tournament. In fact, I’d still take down Harvick . Looking at average green flag rate at the three big ovals of Auto Club, Las Vegas and Atlanta, Harvick has the second-best rate, edging out Busch who comes in third. Looking at Las Vegas Harvick had the fastest flag typical speed while Busch came in third.

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