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NASCAR at Phoenix betting odds, props, key stats to help bettors win TicketGuardian 500

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After back-to-back Team Penske wins, NASCAR heads to ISM Raceway’s one-mile flat track in Phoenix for the fourth race of the season.

Brad Keselowski and Joey Logano are riding streaks of eight top-12 endings dating back to last season, but both drivers are going to take a backseat to the current dominating performances of Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch at Phoenix.

Harvick (9/4) and Busch (7/2) have the shortest odds to win Sunday’s TicketGuardian 500 and both won at the course last season. This weekend, if Harvick were to triumph, he would join an elite team, becoming only the sixth driver in series history to win 10 or more Cup Series races in one track; joining Richard Petty, Darrell Waltrip, Jimmie Johnson, David Pearson and Dale Earnhardt.

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In three of those last four Phoenix races, Busch has headed 359 laps, including 117 in his triumph throughout last year’s playoffs — the first under the new arrangement of this track.

Phoenix’s track is similar to Richmond and New Hampshire and it’s no surprise both Harvick and Busch have experienced similar success at those racks. Busch has won 2017’s fall race in New Hampshire and the last two races at Richmond. Harvick won the most-recent race in New Hampshire and has finished in the top five in five of the previous six races at Richmond.

But unlike in these preceding races, all drivers will use a new car setup implemented by NASCAR, another from what we watched the previous fourteen days in Atlanta and Las Vegas. This season teams will use a spacer — without a ducts that are aero — for the very first time. They will use a engine at Phoenix rather than the engine at Vegas. NASCAR expects to see a well-handling car using a faster response time on the throttle. The bundle that is new could close the gap Harvick and Busch have had on the field.

So far in two races with the slightly differing rules bundle of NASCAR, Ford has five consecutive stage wins and has led 65 percent of the laps. Ford motorist Aric Almirola, Harvick’s teammate, will be a sleeper driver to observe this weekend. He was third at New Hampshire’s similar design last season, fifth at Richmond and fourth last season’s fall race at Phoenix. Almirola is 20/1 to win on Sunday and we enjoy him .

MORE: The way to win at betting on NASCAR at 2019

Curious to win 2019 TicketGuardian 500 in Phoenix

Odds provided by Westgate LV SuperBook

Kevin HARVICK 9/4
Kyle BUSCH 7/2
Joey LOGANO 8/1
Martin TRUEX JR 10/1
Chase ELLIOTT 10/1
Denny HAMLIN 15/1
Kyle LARSON 20/1
Aric ALMIROLA 20/1
Clint BOWYER 25/1
Erik JONES 25/1
Kurt BUSCH 30/1
Ryan BLANEY 30/1
Jimmie JOHNSON 50/1
Austin DILLON 50/1
Alex BOWMAN 50/1
Daniel SUAREZ 60/1
Ryan NEWMAN 100/1
William BYRON 100/1
Daniel HEMRIC 100/1
Paul MENARD 100/1
Ryan PREECE 200/1
Chris BUESCHER 200/1
Darrell WALLACE JR 500/1
Ty DILLON 1000/1
Michael McDOWELL 2000/1
David RAGAN 2000/1
FIELD (all others) 500/1

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